Awards season keeps on rollin’, baby! We’re hours away from the 28th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards. If you haven’t already, click to read my reactions to this year’s nominees. Tonight’s celebration of the acting performances should also give those who keep an eye on awards season an idea of how the Oscar race is shaping up. While some frontrunners have emerged, I’m hopeful that we’ll see a few surprises tonight.
This year’s SAG Awards will be simulcast live on both TNT and TBS this evening at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT. The ceremony will be available to stream the following day on HBO Max.
My personal picks and predictions for the film nominees are below. Please note: I have placed an asterisk (*) next to the films/performances that I have yet to see.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem | Desi Arnaz — Being the Ricardos
Benedict Cumberbatch | Phil Burbank — The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield | Jon — tick, tick…BOOM!
Will Smith | Richard Williams — King Richard
Denzel Washington | Macbeth — The Tragedy of Macbeth*
KC pick: Andrew Garfield
Will win: Will Smith
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain | Tammy Faye Bakker — The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Oliva Colman | Leda — The Lost Daughter
Lady Gaga | Patrizia Reggiani — House of Gucci
Jennifer Hudson | Aretha Franklin — Respect
Nicole Kidman | Lucille Ball — Being the Ricardos
KC pick: Jessica Chastain
Will win: Nicole Kidman
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Ben Affleck | Uncle Charlie — The Tender Bar
Bradley Cooper | Jon Peters — Licorice Pizza
Troy Kotsur | Frank Rossi — CODA
Jared Leto | Paolo Gucci — House of Gucci
Kodi Smit-McPhee | Peter Gordon — The Power of the Dog
KC pick: Troy Kotsur
Will win: Troy Kotsur
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Caitriona Balfe | Ma — Belfast
Cate Blanchett | Dr. Lilith Ritter — Nightmare Alley*
Ariana DeBose | Anita — West Side Story (2021)*
Kirsten Dunst | Rose Gordon — The Power of the Dog
Ruth Negga | Clare — Passing
KC pick: Caitriona Balfe
Will win: Ariana DeBose
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Belfast
CODA
Don’t Look Up
House of Gucci
King Richard
KC pick: CODA
Will win: Don’t Look Up
Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
Black Widow
Dune
The Matrix Resurrections
No Time to Die
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
KC pick: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Will win: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Probably at the Movies 