Awards season keeps on rollin’, baby! We’re hours away from the 28th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards. If you haven’t already, click to read my reactions to this year’s nominees. Tonight’s celebration of the acting performances should also give those who keep an eye on awards season an idea of how the Oscar race is shaping up. While some frontrunners have emerged, I’m hopeful that we’ll see a few surprises tonight.

This year’s SAG Awards will be simulcast live on both TNT and TBS this evening at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT. The ceremony will be available to stream the following day on HBO Max.

My personal picks and predictions for the film nominees are below. Please note: I have placed an asterisk (*) next to the films/performances that I have yet to see.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Javier Bardem | Desi Arnaz — Being the Ricardos

Benedict Cumberbatch | Phil Burbank — The Power of the Dog

Andrew Garfield | Jon — tick, tick…BOOM!

Will Smith | Richard Williams — King Richard

Denzel Washington | Macbeth — The Tragedy of Macbeth*

KC pick: Andrew Garfield

Will win: Will Smith

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Jessica Chastain | Tammy Faye Bakker — The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Oliva Colman | Leda — The Lost Daughter

Lady Gaga | Patrizia Reggiani — House of Gucci

Jennifer Hudson | Aretha Franklin — Respect

Nicole Kidman | Lucille Ball — Being the Ricardos

KC pick: Jessica Chastain

Will win: Nicole Kidman

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Ben Affleck | Uncle Charlie — The Tender Bar

Bradley Cooper | Jon Peters — Licorice Pizza

Troy Kotsur | Frank Rossi — CODA

Jared Leto | Paolo Gucci — House of Gucci

Kodi Smit-McPhee | Peter Gordon — The Power of the Dog

KC pick: Troy Kotsur

Will win: Troy Kotsur

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Caitriona Balfe | Ma — Belfast

Cate Blanchett | Dr. Lilith Ritter — Nightmare Alley*

Ariana DeBose | Anita — West Side Story (2021)*

Kirsten Dunst | Rose Gordon — The Power of the Dog

Ruth Negga | Clare — Passing

KC pick: Caitriona Balfe

Will win: Ariana DeBose

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Belfast

CODA

Don’t Look Up

House of Gucci

King Richard

KC pick: CODA

Will win: Don’t Look Up

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

Black Widow

Dune

The Matrix Resurrections

No Time to Die

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

KC pick: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

Will win: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

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